Top 4 picks, including Providence vs. Creighton and Kansas State vs. UCLA

As we head into March, college basketball is getting a lot more interesting from a national perspective — and from a betting perspective.

We have another list loaded this Saturday, and our staff has our four best bets to help you craft your very own college hoops betting card.

So, dive in now and get the best college basketball odds and picks for Saturday.


Top 4 college basketball bets for saturday

The team logos in the table below represent each of the games the college basketball team is targeting on Saturday’s slate. Click on the team logos for a match below to go to a specific bet discussed in this article.


Davidson vs. George Mason

by stocky

George Mason has got to be one of the luckiest teams in the country so far. The Patriots continue to drop games on the road with a possession or two after holding a late lead.

You can blame their appalling free throws for part of these issues. In the season, they shoot only 63.2% of the charity tape, which ranks 345th in Division I.

That will still be a struggle.

However, they’ve also shot 10-of-46 at the front end for one-and-ones this season. That’s 21.8%, which is totally unlucky.

After another heartbreaking loss in St. Louis, this team is still undervalued in the market for what I think is an overrated Davidson club.

As far as this face-off is concerned, Davidson doesn’t really make mistakes and won’t turn teams, two glaring weaknesses for George Mason’s club who ranks 36 and 65 in effective field goal percent on offense and defense, respectively.

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Providence vs. Creighton

by Cooper van Tatenhove

Providence will be looking to keep its nine-win streak alive as it faces a Creighton team that returns home after dropping two straight teams to Connecticut and Xavier.

Although this is a great rebounding point for the Bluejays, I think Providence will have some defensive advantages to keep themselves within the number.

Offensively, Creighton relied on outside shooting to propel her offense, scoring 35% of her points from 3-point range, the 86th highest in the country.

Defensively, Providence successfully defended from the perimeter, only allowing opponents to score 27% of their points from long runs (301 nationally).

Additionally, Creighton has thrived since running back quarterback Ryan Kalkbrenner, who leads the team with 14.8 points per game this season. Although on paper Providence is going to be big in this game, it has had consistent production from center Ed Croswell on both ends of the floor.

On defense, Croswell produced a block percentage of 4.4% and a steal percentage of 3.3%, ranking the Providence defense in the top 75 in both categories.

That’s an undeniably good place for Creighton after their losing streak, but I still trust Providence who haven’t lost since November to keep this game close throughout.

pluck or pluck: Providence +6.5 (play up to +5)


Kansas State vs. University of California

by Charlie Disturko

When it comes to situational spots, there is little better than supporting TCU at home against Kansas State on Saturday.

The Horned Frogs are a legitimate Big 12 team, but they fell short in back-to-back games with Iowa State and Texas.

Meanwhile, Kansas State has had a solid 15-1 start and is yet to lose in a Big 12 game.

Kansas State has yet to face a defense of TCU’s caliber. The Horned Frogs ranked 31st in eFG% and 22nd in turnover. It is very annoying and deadly in transition. While their aggression can sometimes lead to second chances, their two-point defense is 61.

The Wildcats were going hot shooting, and Markquis Nowell was an incredible facilitator. It is second in the nation in terms of assistance rate and is used on 26% of properties. Florida transfer Keyontae Johnson has starred since joining the team and is ranked 46th in true shooting percentage.

But these are tough rivalries for the two — and all of Kansas State, frankly.

TCU ranks 71st in the nation in terms of average altitude, a figure that is in the 300s for the Wildcats. Kansas State also ranks 329 in bench minutes, and given TCU’s defensive pressure and deep bench press—15th in the country—KSU should tire over time.

While the Horned Frogs won’t hit you from the perimeter, they are 71st in two-point offense. They are 25th highest in offensive rebound rate, come to the line at the 53rd highest rate and don’t turn the ball over.

Eddie Lampkin Jr. was a big bright spot on the offensive glass and Mike Miles Jr. was a star in his junior season. Miles averages a team-best 19.5 points per game.

This is a well-rounded team with enough athletic chops to compete and smash Kansas State.

After two losses, it’s time to buy low on Horned Frogs and sell high on Kansas State. It’s only a matter of time before Wildcats fall to the ground, and this is the perfect opportunity for them to vanish.


Texas A&M vs South Carolina

by Brett Bond

Everyone’s been talking about Tennessee and Alabama in the SEC, but Texas A&M has been quietly playing some of the best basketball lately.

The Aggies won five straight, including a perfect 3-0 league mark, with wins over Florida, LSU and No. 20 Missouri. Coach Buzz Williams’ team has also covered the spread in all three conference games with an average of 10 points per game.

On defense, A&M likes to pressure teams to make turnovers (35 out of 2%) and force outside runs (35 out of 2P%). These are two of the weakest areas in South Carolina, which rank outside the top 250 in both categories, according to Bart Torvik.

The Gamecocks are 6-1 at home, but those wins have mostly come against poor opposition (South Carolina State, USC Upstate, Presbyterian, Western Kentucky and Eastern Michigan).

They also got their first win at Kentucky since the 2009 season, and I don’t see them putting in another great performance.

I would prop the visitors to -9.5 on the spread in a game where I expect the Aggies to win by double digits.

pluck or pluck: Texas A&M -8 (play to -9.5)

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